News is coming in thick and fast after the CM of Uttar Pradesh, India’s most important state when it comes to national politics, Akhilesh Yadav has been dismissed from the ruling Samajwadi Party by his own father, ‘Netaji’ Mulayam Singh Yadav. There has been a long-standing fight between the father-son duo and this fallout is the latest twist in this feud. Both Akhilesh and his uncle, Ram Gopal Yadav, have been banished from the Samajwadi Party for six years. We dissect the political dilemma in the state and map out who stands where and which party will stand to gain.

The SP has seemingly lost balance

The Samajwadi Party: Extremely Bad but may change soon

The SP is on the brink of implosion. As this report is being filed, we are hearing rumours that Akhilesh may possibly float a new party, although his expulsed uncle, Ram Gopal Yadav has strongly denied any such idea. Akhilesh is now free of the reins of the SP and will possibly project his image as a youth leader with an agenda of development. The Congress party will try and snare Akhilesh  in their quest to form a ‘Mahagatbandhan’ a la Bihar. This rift in the party will benefit the BJP and the BSP. We have been receiving news that a close confidante of Akhilesh Yadav, Naved Siddique, has also resigned. With this development, the SP will lose a very big chunk of the Yadav-Muslim vote bank that might possibly end up gravitating towards the BSP.

The Bahujan Samajwadi Party: Very Good

The BSP stands to win the most from this development. Mayawati, the BSP supremo, is expected to capitalise on this SP internal implosion. She will benefit the most, possibly wooing back the Muslim, Dalit and OBC votes. Mayawati herself is quiet as of now. We will keep you updated as soon as some BSP statement sees the light of day.

The Bharatiya Janata Party: Indifferent as of now, but waiting and watching

The BJP may seem to be riding high on this development, but reports suggest that they are wary of the fact that many votes especially from the poorer sections  of the society may end up going to the BSP. Yogi Adityanath, the BJP MP, stated that he was sure that the SP was finished as a major political figure. He may have been deliberately optimistic, and in any case, his optimism will vanish once more concrete details about the SP split emerge. The BJP was hoping to capitalise on the ‘corruption’ and the ‘mismanagement in UP under the SP regime. Even that weapon now stands silenced with Akhilesh Yadav’s expulsion. Even the issue of demonetisation will take a backseat now.

The Congress: Nightmarishly Poor

The Congress VP, Rahul Gandhi, has not expressed any views as of now. No tweets have been received from the party either. They will now look to hitch up with Akhilesh Yadav if they want to stay relevant at all. The main face of the Congress party in the UP Elections 2017, Sheila Dixit, has not been happy with the Congress leadership and its campaign in UP. We will have to wait and watch for any reactions.

Update: As we report this, we are getting news that many people who are followers of Akhilesh Yadav are planning to hold massive protests in Lucknow tomorrow morning. No constitutional crisis has come forth, says the UP Governor, Ram Naik. Meanwhile, Akhilesh Yadav is planning to hold a press conference very soon. Watch this space for more.

 (This is a breaking story. Details are coming in with each passing minute. This page will be constantly updated)

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